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Coronavirus COVID-19 Traffic Impact 2020
T2RL is reporting on the traffic impact of COVID-19 on the top 50 airlines worldwide and overall trends. Traffic is measured in passengers boarded, flights count and security checks and is estimated where official figures are unavailable. China is accounted for separately from the rest of the Asia Pacific region.

Traffic is updated and adjusted as soon as new information becomes available.
 
 

Headlines

The top 50 carriers by passengers boarded have witnessed an estimated:
60% traffic decline in Jan - Dec 2020 compared to Jan - Dec 2019
24% traffic decline in Q1 2020 compared to Q1 2019
86% traffic decline in Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019
65% traffic decline in Q3 2020 compared to Q3 2019
59% traffic decline in Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019
63% traffic decline in Q1 2021 compared to Q1 2019
53% traffic decline in Q2 2021 compared to Q2 2019
44% traffic decline projected for Q3 2021 compared to Q3 2019
 

Top 50 Airlines Passenger Volumes by Region

- The chart shows Passengers Boarded in millions, by region
- August and September 2021 figures are projected
- Hover over chart lines to highlight
- Hover the line points for data
- Click legend Regions to highlight

 


North America

- Top 9 North American airline groups saw an estimated 14.5% traffic decline in Q1 2020 compared to Q1 2019.
- US carriers reported stable YOY growth of 5% in January and February and 51% traffic decline reported in March.
- Top 9 North American airline groups saw an estimated 89% traffic decline in Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019.
- 96% traffic decline reported in April, 90% in May and 82% in June.
- Top 9 North American airline groups saw an estimated 72% traffic decline in Q3 2020 compared to Q3 2019.
- Traffic recovery reported in July (-75%), August (-72%) and September (-68%).
- Top 9 North American airline groups saw an estimated 64% traffic decline in Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019.
- Gradual recovery reported in October (-65%) and November (-63.5%) and projected for December (-63%).
- Top 9 North American airline groups witnessed an estimated 53% traffic decline in Q1 2021 compared to Q1 2020 and 59% decline compared to Q1 2019.
- After a slight traffic decline reported in January 2021, consistent traffic recovery was reported from February until June 2021.
- Top 9 North American airline groups witnessed an estimated 38% traffic decline in Q2 2021 compared to Q2 2019.
- Traffic recovery reported for July 2021 with a month-over-month traffic decline projected for August and September 2021.
- Top 9 North American airline groups are projected to witness a 26% traffic decline in Q3 2021 compared to Q3 2019.






Historical US Security Checks
Full details on our USA page.


Europe

- Top 15 airlines in Europe saw an estimated 19% traffic decline in Q1 2020 compared to Q1 2019.
- European carriers were relatively stable in January and February but witnessed a 54% traffic decline in March 2020.
- Top 15 airlines in Europe saw an estimated 96% traffic decline in Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019.
- Drastic traffic decline witnessed in April (-99%) and May (-98%) and June (-93%).
- Europe's largest carriers Ryanair and EasyJet suspended all operations from end March until June 2020
- Top 15 airlines in Europe saw an estimated 69% traffic decline in Q3 2020 compared to Q3 2019.
- Traffic recovery reported in July (-76%) and August (-63%), but another decline reported in September (-69%).
- Top 15 airlines in Europe saw an estimated 78% traffic decline in Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019.
- Further traffic declines reported in October (-74%) and November (-81%) and projected for December (-79%).
- Top 15 airlines in Europe witnessed the highest traffic decline amongst all regions in 1H 2021 in comparison to 1H 2019.
- After a traffic decline reported in February 2021, gradual traffic recovery reported from March until May 2021.
- Major traffic increase reported in June 2021 with further growth in July / August 2021, but a slight month over month decline projected for September 2021.
- Top 15 airlines in Europe are projected to witness an estimated 47% traffic decline in Q3 2021 compared to Q3 2019.






Historical European Flight Count
Full details on our Europe page.


China

- Top 6 Chinese airline groups reported the largest traffic decline in Q1 2020 (-56.8%) in comparison to all other regions.
- Slight decline in January (-9%), major decline in February (-87%) and improvement reported in March (-74%).
- Chinese carriers reported the smallest traffic decline in Q2 2020 (-57.8%) in comparison to all other regions.
- Recovery reported in April (-72%), May (-56%) and June (-46%).
- Top 6 Chinese airline groups saw an estimated 29% traffic decline in Q3 2020 compared to Q3 2019.
- Recovery reported for July (-38%) and August (-29.5%) and September (-17%).
- Top 6 Chinese airline groups saw an estimated 18% traffic decline in Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019.
- Slight recovery reported in October (-16%) with another decline in November (-19%) and December (-20%).
- Top 6 Chinese airline groups have witnessed the highest traffic increase in 1H 2021 compared to all other regions.
- January and February 2021 witnessed a continued month-over-month traffic decline, with recovery reported in March.
- Further traffic recovery was reported in April, with a month-over-month decline reported for May 2021 and June 2021.
- Traffic recovery reported in July 2021, with major traffic decline in August 2021 and recovery projected for September 2021.
- Top 6 Chinese airline groups are projected to witness a 42% traffic decline in Q3 2021 compared to Q3 2019.




Asia Pacific (excluding China)

- Top 13 Asia-Pacific based carriers saw an estimated 21% traffic decline in Q1 2020 compared to Q1 2019.
- Asia-Pacific carriers reported 1% growth in January, 9% traffic decline in February and 55% decline in March.
- Top 13 Asia-Pacific based carriers saw an estimated 91% traffic decline in Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019.
- 94% and 93% traffic decline reported in April and May respectively and gradual recovery with 85% decline reported in June.
- Top 13 Asia-Pacific based carriers saw an estimated 76% traffic decline in Q3 2020 compared to Q3 2019.
- Gradual traffic recovery reported in July (-80%) and August (-78%) and September (-71%).
- Top 13 Asia-Pacific based carriers saw an estimated 64% traffic decline in Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019.
- Further traffic recovery reported in October (-67%) and November (-63%) and projected same for December (-63%).
- Top 13 Asia-Pacific based carriers witnessed an estimated 55% traffic decline in Q1 2021 compared to Q1 2020 and 65% traffic decline compared to Q1 2019.
- January and February 2021 witnessed a month-over-month traffic decline, with recovery reported in March 2021.
- Further traffic decline reported in April and May 2021, and very gradual recovery witnessed from June to September 2021
- Top 13 Asia-Pacific based carriers are projected to witness a 72% traffic decline in Q3 2021 compared to Q3 2019.




Middle East

- Top 3 airlines in the Middle East saw an estimated 21% traffic decline in Q1 2020 compared to Q1 2019.
- Middle East carriers were relatively stable in January and February, but witnessed a 59% traffic decline in March 2020.
- Top 3 airlines in the Middle East saw an estimated 92% traffic decline in Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019.
- Traffic decline in April (-94%), May (-93%) and June (-89%).
- Top 3 airlines in the Middle East saw an estimated 82% traffic decline in Q3 2020 compared to Q3 2019.
- Gradual recovery in July (-86%) and August (-82%) and September (-78%).
- Top 3 airlines in the Middle East saw an estimated 73% traffic decline in Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019.
- Traffic recovery projected for October (-77%), November (-72%) and December (-70%).
- Top 3 airlines in the Middle East saw an estimated 70% traffic decline in Q1 2021 compared to Q1 2020 and 76% traffic decline compared to Q1 2019.
- After another traffic decline reported in February 2021, gradual traffic recovery witnessed from March until September 2021.
- Top 3 airlines in the Middle East are projected to witness a 70% traffic decline in Q3 2021 compared to Q3 2019.




Latin America and Caribbean

- Top 4 Latin America & Caribbean airline groups have reported a 6% traffic decline in Q1 2020 compared to Q1 2019.
- Latin America & Caribbean carriers reported 7% and 9% traffic growth in January and February respectively, and 36% traffic decline in March.
- Top 4 Latin America & Caribbean airline groups witnessed a 95% traffic decline in Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019.
- Major traffic declines reported in April (-96%), May (-95%) and June (-92%).
- Top 4 Latin America & Caribbean airline groups witnessed a 83% traffic decline in Q3 2020 compared to Q3 2019.
- Gradual recovery reported in July (-88%), August (-84%) and September (-75%).
- Top 4 Latin America & Caribbean airline groups witnessed a 57% traffic decline in Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019.
- Traffic recovery reported in October (-65%), November (-56%) and for December (-49%).
- Top 4 Latin America & Caribbean airline groups witnessed an estimated 50% traffic decline in Q1 2021 compared to Q1 2020 and 53% compared to Q1 2019.
- Traffic recovery reported in January 2021, however month-over-month traffic decline reported for February and March 2021.
- Further traffic decline reported in April 2021 and gradual recovery reported from May to July 2021.
- Traffic decline projected for August 2021 and slight recovery projected for September 2021.
- Top 4 Latin America & Caribbean airline groups are projected to witness a 41% traffic decline in Q3 2021 compared to Q3 2019.




 
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